According to the American Rental Association (ARA), the outlook for equipment rental revenue, comprised of the construction/industrial and general tool segments, has improved over the last quarter. The updated second quarter forecast now calls for equipment rental revenue to exceed $47.8 billion in 2021, nearly a 3.5 percent increase over 2020 and greater than last quarter’s forecast that called for a 3.1 percent increase this year.
Overall, the ARA forecast calls for a 9.68 percent increase in revenue in 2022 to reach nearly $52.5 billion, surpassing the equipment rental industry’s previous peak revenue of nearly $51 billion in 2019. Growth is expected to be 3.9 percent in 2023, 2.4 percent in 2024 and 3.5 percent in 2025 to total $57.7 billion.
The revenue increases are fueled by the expected strong demand for construction and industrial revenue, particularly in 2022, when the segment’s revenues are expected to jump 11.9 percent to $38.9 billion, surpassing the record $37.7 billion in revenue set in 2019.
Also, with the likely passage of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 (IIJA) by the U.S. Congress, the future forecast for equipment rental revenue in 2022 and beyond could be even more robust.
Additional figures included in the new forecast concern the outlook for investment. According to ARA Rentalytics, those in the construction and industrial segment are expected to increase investment this year by 48.1 percent to $7.2 billion and another 40 percent in 2022 to reach nearly $10.1 billion, surpassing the peak industry investment in equipment of $9.95 billion in 2019. Investment in general tool equipment is expected to increase by 19.5 percent this year to reach $3.31 billion and then grow another 22.1 percent in 2022 to teach $4.04 billion.